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Saturday, 23 April 2005
"Looking Back One Year" A review of stock picks from the week of March 1, 2004






Hello Friends! Thanks so much for stopping by and visiting my blog, Stock Picks bob's Advice. l As always, please remember that I am an amateur investor, so please consult with your professional investment advisors prior to making any investment decisions based on information on this website.

As I like to do on weekends, I shall try to review my stock picks that I made a bit over a year ago and see how they are currently doing. Unfortunately, last weekend I got caught up in other things and didn't post the review (did anyone notice?), so I am another week behind the trailing year, and am up to the week of March 1, 2004, a little over a year ago. Please note that this review assumes a buy and hold strategy. If you follow my posts, and my explanations, you will know that I do not actually practice that strategy. I like to sell my losing stocks quickly and then sell portions of my gaining stocks slowly as they appreciate. That one difference will certainly affect performance!

On March 2, 2004, I posted Cantel Medical (CMN) on Stock Picks at a price of $18.40. I also subsequently purchased some shares and currently own some of those shares still! Cantel had a 3:2 stock split on 1/13/05 making my effective "pick price" only $12.27. CMN closed at $26.38 on 4/22/05, for a gain of $14.11 or 115%.

On March 2, 2005, CMN announced 2nd quarter 2005 results. For the quarter ended January 31, 2005, sales were $49.5 million, up 21% from the sales of $41 million the prior year. Net income was $3.9 million, up 51% from $2.6 million, or on a per share basis, $.24/diluted share, up from $.17/diluted share the prior year. These were great results!

On March 4, 2004, I posted Isco, Inc. (ISKO) on Stock Picks when it was trading at $12.12. On June 15, 2004, Teledyne (TDY) announced an acquisition of ISKO at $16.00 cash/share. This would have given us a gain of $3.88/share or 32% from the stock pick price.

Finally, on March 5, 2004, I posted Nutraceutical (NUTR) on Stock Picks at a price of $19.00. NUTR closed at $15.52 on 4/22/05, for a loss of $(3.48) or (18.3)%.

On December 3, 2004, NUTR reported 4th quarter 2004 results. Revenue was slightly higher at $36.1 million, compared with $35.3 million the prior year. Net income was flat at $3.3 million in 2004, unchanged from $3.3 million in 2003 for the same quarter. On a per share fully diluted basis, however, this came in at $.28/diluted share in 2004, down from $.29/diluted share in the same quarter in 2003.

So overall, how did I do? Well I had one TERRIFIC stock pick (CMN), one stock that was acquired, and one moderately mediocre :(. Overall, because of Cantel especially, the average performance (averaging the percentage change for each of the three stocks reviewed that week last year), was a gain of 42.9% (!). Not too shabby at all!

Thanks again for stopping by! Remember that I am an amateur investor so please consult with your professional advisors! If you have any questions or comments, please feel free to email me at bobsadviceforstocks@lycos.com.

Bob






Posted by bobsadviceforstocks at 2:18 PM CDT | Post Comment | Permalink

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