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Monday, 20 October 2003
October 20, 2003 Renal Care Group (RCI)
It's lunchtime and I really should be heading out to get a bite to eat, but scanning the lists again I have another one for you. (It is interesting to see some of our other picks like CRDN, and BLTI make the lists today again!). Renal Care Group, Inc., (RCI), is in a business similar to another stock I have examined and have currently in my trading account...Davita (DVA). I do not have any shares of RCI. Currently, RCI is trading at $36.31, up $1.06 on the day or 3.01%. According to money.cnn.com, Renal Care Group, Inc. "...is a specialized provider of nephrology services to patients with kidney disease. The Company provides dialysis and ancillary services to approximately 20,500 patients."

On July 29, 2003, on Business Wire, as reported by Yahoo, Renal Care group announced results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2003. For the quarter, revenues increased 11.2% to $247.1 million compared to $222.2 million in the same period in 2002. Net income for the quarter rose 14% to $25.8 million from $22.6 million in 2002. On a per share basis, this was an increase of 18.2% to $.52 compared to $.44/share last year. All-in-all, this was a very nice quarter for RCI.

Morningstar.com shows a very nice picture: revenues have grown from $441.1 millin in 1998, $541.9 million in 1999, $622.6 million in 2000, $755.1 million in 2001, $903.4 million in 2002 and $963.7 million in the trailing twelve months.

During that same period, earnings per share have grown from $.79/share in 1998 to $1.92/share in the trailing twelve months.

Free cash flow has been improving nicely from $44 million in 2000, $68 million in 2001, $107 million in 2002 and $101 million in the trailing twelve months. Looking at the balance sheet, we find $83.3 million in cash and $211.5 million in other current assets, more than enough to cover the $134.0 million in current liabilities and $58.4 million in long-term liabilities.

Looking at Yahoo.com, we find that the trailing p/e is a reasonable 18.36; forward p/e...looking at fye 31-Dec-04...is even better at 14.87. The PEG ratio is nice at 1.05, and pric/sales...is very nice at 1.80. Currently there are 49.20 million shares outstanding with 48.10 million of them that float. As of 9/8/03, there were 1.32 million shares out short representing 8.449 trading days...with no apparent BAD news that I can see, this is really a lot of shares out short on a stock that is reasonably priced and may very well surprise on the upside. This short interest is BULLISH for this stock. No dividends are paid.

I like this stock a lot as well. Darn, I cannot buy EVERYTHING I like. You know, there ARE limits on Margin!

Thanks for stopping by! If you have any questions or comments, please feel free to post them right here or drop me a line at bobsadviceforstocks@lycos.com

Bob






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