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Sunday, 11 September 2005
"Weekend Trading Portfolio Analysis" American Healthways (AMHC)
Hello Friends! Thanks so much for stopping by and visiting my blog, Stock Picks Bob's Advice. As always, please remember that I am an amateur investor, so please consult with your professional investment advisors prior to making any investment decisions based on information on this website.

A few weeks ago I started something new here on Stock Picks :). A review each weekend of a stock in my actual trading portfolio. These are stocks that are picked from among stocks discussed on this blog, and are investments that I actually do make and which I try to report on this blog under the entries "Trading Transparency". That is what I mean by that term!

I am going alphabetically through my 25 position trading portfolio and reviewing each investment, when I first purchased, sold, etc., and sharing with you my thoughts on those investments as well.

This week I am up to American Healthways (AMHC). I currently own 128 shares of AMHC which closed at $46.40 on 9/8/05. On June 18, 2004, I posted American Healthways (AMHC) on Stock Picks when it was trading at $24.11/share. Earlier that same day, June 18, 2004, I posted my purchase of AMHC: 300 shares at $23.50. I have now sold AMH three times. I sold 75 shares on 11/03/04, at $32.65, for a gain of $9.15 or 38.9%, slightly higher than my first targeted sale at a 30% gain. This left 225 shares in the account.

On April 25, 2005, I sold 55 shares at a net price of $39.69 for a gain of $16.19/share or 68.9%, leaving 170 shares of AMHC in the account.

On July 28, 2005, I sold 42 shares at $44.86 net, for a gain of $21.36 or 90.9%, leaving my 128 shares I currently own. At the current closing price of $46.40, they have an unrealized gain of $22.90/share or 97.4%. My next targeted sale on the upside will be at the 120% gain level, or on the downside, since I have sold at the 90% level, I shall sell all remaining shares if the stock retraces back to a 45% gain.

On June 20, 2005, AMHC announced 3rd quarter 2005 results. Revenue climbed 20% to $78,357,000 for the quarter ended May 31, 2005, up from $65,354,000 the same quarter last year. Net income came in at $8.5 million or $.24/diluted share, up from $7.8 million or $.22/diluted share in the prior year.

If we look at an American Healthways Point & Figure Chart:


we can see a GORGEOUS graph, with an almost uninterrupted ascent after the stock broke through resistance in April, 2003, at about $11.00, to its current level in the high $40's.

In conclusion, AMHC has been a terrific stock for me. I have sold it three times at my price targets, and the chart looks solid, and latest earnings appear right on the mark.

Thanks so much for visiting. Please feel free to leave comments on the blog or email me at bobsadviceforstocks@lycos.com if you have any questions.

Bob






Posted by bobsadviceforstocks at 1:39 PM CDT | Post Comment | Permalink
Updated: Sunday, 11 September 2005 1:41 PM CDT

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