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Sunday, 5 March 2006
"Looking Back One Year" A review of stock picks from the week of December 13, 2004.







Hello Friends! Thanks so much for stopping by and visiting my blog, Stock Picks Bob's Advice. As always please remember that I am an amateur investor, so please remember to consul with your professional investment advisors prior to making any investment decisions based on information on this website.

As my regular readers realize, there are several different things going on simultaneously on this website! First of all, I like to discuss stocks that fit my criteria for investment. A year or so later, I like to go back and examine these "picks" to see how they turned out. This analysis assumes a buy and hold strategy which is not what I actually employ in my investments. Instead, I like to sell my losing stocks completely and quickly at an 8% loss, and also sell my appreciating stocks (see the previous entry on Coach) slowly and partially. But for the sake of analysis, I like to assume a 'buy and hold' strategy for my stock picks. I believe it stil l gives us a feel for how the stock selections were doing, even though the actual performance in my hands might be substantially better (or worse).

Also on this blog, I like to discuss my actual holdings in my "trading portfolio". Those stocks are the ones that I actually purchase and have real stock trading losses and gains. Whenever I make a trade in my actual trading account, I try to post a note as soon as possible under the title "Trading Portfolio Transparency".

Anyhow, a little over a year ago, on December 19, 2004, I 'wrote up' C R Bard (BCR) on Stock Picks Bob's Advice when it was trading at $63.90. BCR closed on March 3, 2006, at $69.67 for a gain of $5.77 or 9% since posting.

On January 25, 2006, C R Bard (BCR) reported 4th quarter 2005 results. Net sales grew 7% to $452 million from $424.1 million the prior year same period. Net in come came in at $80.1 million, with diluted earnings per share reported at $.75/share, both up 15% from the same period the prior year, when Bard reported $69.8 million or $.67/diluted share. While a strong result, analysts were expecting 4th quarter results of $462.1 million in revenue with earnings of $.76/share. Thus, while growing, the company missed on analysts' expectations, keeping the subsequent stock price performance 'subdued'.

So how did we do that week? Well, the only stock was C R Bard (which I wrote up on a Sunday!), and that stock appreciated 9% since posting.

Thanks so much for stopping by! If you have any questions or comments, please feel free to leave them on the blog or email me at bobsadviceforstocks@lycos.com.

Bob





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