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Sunday, 12 March 2006
"Looking Back One Year" A review of stock picks from the week of December 20, 2004








Hello Friends! Thanks so much for stopping by and visiting my blog, Stock Picks Bob's Advice. As always, please remember that I am an amateur investor so please remember to consult with your professional investment advisors prior to making any investment decisions based on information on this website.

It is time for another review of prior stock picks on this website. In order to examine the validity of my selections, I like to look back with about a trailing 60 week period to see how selections that particular week have worked out. This review assumes a 'buy and hold' strategy which for simplicity, is as good as any way of reviewing stock market strategy. However, in practice, I advise and practice the strategy of selling losing stocks quickly and completely at 8% loss limits, and selling gaining stocks slowly and partially at targeted gain levels.

On December 20, 2004, I posted DRS Technologies (DRS) on Stock Picks Bob's Advice at a price of $44.35. (This was my second post on DRS on Stock Picks having first posted DRS on Stock Picks Bob's Advice on 8/6/03 when it was trading at $27.98). DRS closed at $54.78 on 3/10/06, for a gain of $10.43 since posting in 2004 or a gain of 23.5%.

On February 9, 2006, DRS announced 3rd quarter 2006 results. Earnings and revenue exceeded expectations with revenue coming in at $389.5 million, up 15% from $338.2 million the prior year. Net income was up 17% coming in at $19.7 million, up 17% from $338.2 million the prior year. On a per share basis, this was $.69/share, up from $.60/share last year. However, their guidance for the fourth quarter was a bit under the analysts' expectations.

On December 23, 2004, I posted NAPCO Security Systems (NSSC) on Stock Picks Bob's Advice when it was trading at $13.141. Napco split 3:2 on 12/29/05 for an effective pick price of $8.76. NAPCO closed at $13.93 on 3/10/05 for a gain of $5.17 or 59% since posting.

On February 7, 2006, NAPCO announced 2nd quarter 2006 results. For the quarter ended Decemgber 31, 2005, net sales increased 8% to $17.2 million from $16.0 million the prior year. Net income for the quarter climbed 70% to $1.5 million or $.11/diluted share, up from $872,000 or $.06/diluted share the year earlier.

By the way, unfortunately, I do not currently own any shares of either of these stock picks. I have owned DRS from time to time but do not own any shares currently.

So how did I do with these two stock picks? These two picks both have done well since they were written up and had an average gain of 41.25% during the past 60 weeks or so.

Thanks so much for stopping by and visiting my blog! If you have any comments or questions, please feel free to leave them on the blog or email me at bobsadviceforstocks@lycos.com.

Bob


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