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Friday, 14 April 2006
"Looking Back One Year" A review of stock picks from the week of January 24, 2005






Hello Friends! Thanks so much for stopping by and visiting my blog, Stock Picks Bob's Advice. As always, please remember that I am an amateur investor, so please remember to consult with your professional investment advisors prior to making any investment decisions based on information on this website.

I hope you all are having a nice weekend and that those of you that celebrate Easter, have a wonderful holiday with your family! One thing that I like to do on weekends is to review past stock picks right from this blog. I am a bit behind of my year out review, and in fact, am reviewing stocks from a trailing 60 week period.

This review assumes a buy and hold strategy. In fact, I practice a different strategy involving selling stocks quickly and completely if they decline 8% and selling stocks partially and slowly as they appreciate to targeted gains. For the purpose of review, assuming the buy and hold is easiest for me to do; however, please be aware that different investment strategies will certainly affect investment returns.

On January 26, 2005, I posted SS&C Technologies (SSNC) on Stock Picks Bob's Advice when the stock was at $21.65. SSNC was acquired by Sunshine Acquisition Corporation which is affiliated with The Carlyle Group. As reported on the SS&C website:
"...On July 28, 2005, SS&C entered into a merger agreement with Sunshine Acquisition Corporation and its wholly owned subsidiary, Sunshine Merger Corporation. Under the terms of the merger agreement, SS&C's stockholders are entitled to receive $37.25 per share in cash, without interest."
Thus, based on the acquisition price of $37.25, I had an appreciation of $15.60 or 72.1% since posting.

The other stock discussed on Stock Picks that week was Affymetrix (AFFX) which was posted on Stock Picks Bob's Advice on January 27, 2005, when the stock was trading at $40.62. AFFX closed at $32.96 on April 13, 2006, for a loss of $(7.66) or (18.9)%.

On January 26, 2006, Affymetrix reported 4th quarter 2005 results. Revenue for the quarter ended December 31, 2005, came in at $111.5 million, a 3.5% increase over the $107.7 million reported in the same quarter in 2004. Net income, however, came in at $24.8 million, down from $27.1 million the prior year. On a per share basis, this worked out to $.35/diluted share in the 4th quarter of 2005, compared with $.41/share in the same period in 2004.

So how did we do with these two stocks? Assuming an equal dollar amount of each stock, we can average the percentages to get an average performance. This works out to an average of a gain of 26.6% for the two stock picks.

Thanks again for stopping by! If you have any questions or comments, please feel free to leave them on the blog or email me at bobsadviceforstocks@lycos.com. Please also be sure to visit my Stock Picks Bob's Advice Podcast Site.

Happy Easter!

Bob


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