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Saturday, 9 September 2006
"Looking Back One Year" A review of stock picks from the week of May 9, 2005

 

 

 

Hello Friends!  Thanks so much for stopping by and visiting my blog, Stock Picks Bob's Advice!  As always, please remember that I am an amateur investor, so please remember to consult with your professional investment advisors prior to making any investment decisions based on information on this website.

Once again it is the weekend!  And one of the tasks I like to perform around this website is to check back on prior stock picks and see how they turned out!  Last Week I reviewed the week of May 2, 2005.  This afternoon, I would like to take a look at those stocks selected for inclusion from the week of May 9, 2005.  

Please note that this review assumes a buy and hold strategy of investing.  My analysis assumes an equal dollar purchase of each of the stocks selected that week.  Currently I employ an active portfolio management system that sells declining stocks quickly at small losses and sells portions of appreciating stocks at targeted appreciation points.  This difference in strategy would certainly affect a portfolio performance in practice.  Also please recall that past performance is never a guarantee of future performance whether you are looking at a mutual fund or an individual equity or any investment actually!

On May 9, 2005, I posted Part Technology (PTC) on Stock Picks Bob's Advice when the stock was trading at $22.17. PTC had a 3:2 stock split on January 9, 2006 making my effective stock pick price $14.78.  PTC closed at $8.88 on September 8, 2006, for a loss of $(5.90) or (40)% since the stock pick.  

On July 26, 2006, PAR announced 2nd quarter 2006 results.  Revenues came in at  $53.3 million, a 4% increase over the $51.2 million reported in the same period the prior year.  Net income, however, dipped to $2.34 million this quarter from $2.35 million in the prior year.  On a per share basis, this was flat at $.16/share, unchanged from $.16/share last year.

On May 11, 2005, I posted Varian Medical Systems on Stock Picks Bob's Advice when the stock was trading at $35.10.  Varian closed at $52.63 on September 8, 2006, for a gain of $17.53 or 50%. 

On July 26, 2006, Varian reported 3rd quarter 2006 results.  Revenues grew 14% to $396 million from $347 million in the same period last year.  Net earnings climbed to $65.7 million, up from $51.1 million last year.  On a diluted share basis this worked out to $.49/share this year vs. $.37/share in the same period last year.

Finally, on May 12, 2005, I posted Pall Corporation (PLL) on Stock Picks Bob's Advice when the stock was trading at $28.58.  Pall closed at $27.20 on September 8, 2006, for a loss of  $(1.38) or (4.8)% since posting.  

 

 
On June 1, 2006, Pall announced 3rd quarter 2006 results.  While revenue came in at $510 million, up from $493.5 million, this was actually shy of expected revenue of $515 million.  Earnings, however, came in at $.20/share, down from $.35/share last year in the same period.  This was also far short of analysts expectations of $.38/share.  

So how did I do with these three stock picks from that week in May, 2005?  In a word, mediocre.  I had one terrific stock pick, Varian, one awful pick, Part Technology, and a mediocre pick in Pall.  The average performance for the three stocks worked out to a gain of 1.7%.  Nothing really to write home about I guess.

Thanks again for visiting!  If you have any comments or questions, please feel free to leave them on the blog or email me at bobsadviceforstocks@lycos.com.  Also, please remember to stop by and visit my Stock Picks Podcast Site where I occasionally make time to talk about and not merely write about these stocks!

Bob 


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