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Sunday, 12 November 2006
"Looking Back One Year" A review of stock picks from the week of July 4, 2005

 

 

 

Hello Friends!  Thanks so much for stopping by and visiting my blog, Stock Picks Bob's Advice!  As always, please remember that I am an amateur investor, so please remember to consult with your professional investment advisers prior to making any investment decisions based on information on this website.

As is my practice, I like to review past stock selections on weekends.  I use one week at a time to examine selections and let you know what would have happened if you had invested equal $ amounts in the stocks discussed that week.  First of all, to answer a recent question I received, I am reviewing stocks from July, 2005, here in November, 2006, because there have been weekends that I have skipped a review.  In fact last weekend was one of those!

In addition, for the sake of analysis, I assume a buy and hold approach to these reviews.  In practice, I believe in a very different strategy of selling losing stocks quickly and completely and selling gaining stocks slowly and partially at targeted appreciation points.

On July 5, 2005, I posted Bausch & Lomb (BOL) on Stock Picks Bob's Advice when it was trading at $87.50.  BOL closed at $49.50 on November 10, 2006.  This represents a loss of $(38.00) or (43.4)% since posting!  This has definitely been one of my poorer stock picks on this blog, emphasizing two things:  one, I am truly an amateur and fully capable of making poor picks (!), and two, the importance of limiting losses to small amounts.

On November 9, 2005, Bausch & Lomb announced 'preliminary' third-quarter 2006 results.  The company also according to the report, filed a "Form 12b-25" which means it will be unable to file the 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2006,  due to an anticipated restatement and expanded procedures for the financial report.

They reported that the anticipated reporting third quarter net income of $16.1 million for the quarter, down sharply from the $51.5 million reported in the same quarter in 2005.  Sales are expected to increase to $577.2 million, compared with sales of $567.3 million in the third quarter of 2005.  Much of Bausch & Lomb's problems relate to problems with Renu contact lens solutions with MoistureLoc and possible related fungal infections.  This cloud over this stock includes the risk of lawsuits.

Unfortunately fort this blog, the Bausch & Lomb post was the only post for the week of July 5, 2005.  Thus, the average performance was a loss of (43.4)% for my selections!  

Please drop me a line if you have any comments or questions at bobsadviceforstocks@lycos.com.  If you get a chance, drop my Stock Picks Podcast site where I discuss many of the same stocks and topics that I write about on the blog.  

Bob 


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