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Saturday, 25 November 2006
"Looking Back One Year" A review of stock picks from the week of July 18, 2005

 

 

 

Hello Friends!  Thanks so much for stopping by and visiting my blog, Stock Picks Bob's Advice!  As always, please remember that I am an amateur investor, so please remember to consult with your professional investment advisors prior to making any investment decisions based on information on this website.

One of my weekend tasks that I try to perform here on the blog, is to look at past stock selections and see if they are still worthy of consideration.  This evaluation assumes a buy and hold strategy without any sales at either declines or appreciation in price.  In practice, I advocate and practice a disciplined portfolio investment strategy that unloads stocks quickly and completely on small losses and directs me to sell small portions of my positions if and when they reach certain appreciation targets.  This strategy would certainly affect investment performance and be taken into consideration.

I like to give a simple "thumbs-up" or "thumbs-down" on these stocks simply based on latest quarter earnings report.  All that I require to give the stock a thumbs-up is that BOTH the earnings and revenue have increased.  I simply do not do an involved fundamental and/or technical analysis on these stocks that I briefly review.

On July 18, 2005, I picked Charles and Colvard (CTHR)  on Stock Picks Bob's Advice when it was trading at $27.87. CTHR had a 5:4 stock split on 1/31/06 making my effective stock pick price actually $22.30.  CTHR closed at $8.18 on 11/24/06, for a loss on my stock pick of $(14.12) or (63.3)% since posting.

On October 14, 2006, CTHR announced 3rd quarter 2006 results.  Net sales increased 7% to $12.1 million, up from $11.3 million for the same quarter in 2005.  Net income was flat at $2.2 million or $.12/share, unchanged from the $2.2 million or $.12/share reported in the same quarter the prior year.

On July 19, 2005, I posted CDW Corp (CDWC) on Stock Picks Bob's Advice when it was trading at $61.98/share.  CDWC closed at $70.09 on November 24, 2006, for a gain of $8.11 or 13.1% since posting.

 

 

On October 18, 2006, CDWC reported 3rd quarter 2006 results.  Sales came in at $1.74 billion, up 4.1% over the prior year.  Net income grew 6.3% to $77.7 million, and diluted earnings per share came in at $.98/share up 11% over the prior year results. 

Finally, on July 19, 2005, I posted FileNet (FILE) on Stock Picks Bob's Advice when it was trading at $29.97/share.  As announced on August 10, 2006, IBM acquired FileNet (FILE) for $35.00/share with a resultant appreciation of $5.03 or 16.8% over the stock pick price.  FILE is no longer traded as an independent company.

 

So how did I do with these three stocks?  Well, because of the stock implosion of CTHR, rather poorly actually.  There was one losing stock and two gainers for an average loss of (11.1)%.  You can see from this how important it is to limit losses to avoid undermining your entire portfolio.  I did not own any of these three stocks and do not currently.

Thanks so much for stopping by and visiting!  If you have any comments or questions, please feel free to email me at bobsadviceforstocks@lycos.com or simply leave your comments right on the blog.  Please also stop by and visit my Stock Picks Podcast Website.

Bob 


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