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Thursday, 1 March 2007
It All Comes Back to Iraq.
Those of you who know me better know that I also have a political hat that I sometimes wear.  As we face this market correction, I do think that we should ask whether there is something basically wrong with our government management of the American economy in the face of a questionable foreign policy.  We can argue whether America needed to be involved in Iraq.  Whether thst policy was implemented in an appropriate fashion.

But of greater concern, is my question whether it was responsible for this Administration to pursue a policy of tax cuts during a time of growth in expenditures.  This pursuit of lower taxes without any regard to fiscal responsibility and reducing deficits, a policy that had been successfully pursued under the previous President Clinton, has resulted in reliance on the Federal Reserve which is supposed to manipulate money supply and inter-bank loan rates to control inflation.

Our deficit in America is now being held more and more by investors offshore and our economic future is more and more dependent on the success of economies in places such as China and other countries that hold more and more of our dollar-based Treasury notes and obligations.  

The dollar has suffered as more have been 'printed', with the dollar dropping against foreign currencies.  Yet we have not acted to reduce our dependence on foreign oil, we have not required more fuel efficiency from our vehicles, we have not made the needed investments in alternative fuels, we have not made Kyoto a goal, but have continued to increase our addiction on oil produced in areas of the world that are growing hostile to our own interests.  Our trade deficits have grown simultaneous with our fiscal deficit.

So when we hear about how China can affect our own market, let us not examine this in a vacuum.  Let us realize that we have been misled by our politicians who depended on our own greed to allow them to fail to make the hard decisions to restore fiscal responsibility and instead promise us never-ending 'tax cuts'.  This fuzzy-math economics is coming home to roost.

And when we get out to drive in our Suburbans, Tahoes, and heavy-duty pick-ups, gloating about how we can buy gas cheaper than they do in Europe where high prices has moved drivers to efficient vehicles, let us be aware that our inability to encourage our leaders to make the hard decisions is costing us hard right here at home.

O.K., enough of the politics.  But don't you just get sick when you see futures down more than 100 points before the market opens!

Wishing you all well.  I shall try to reduce my political ranting here and try to stick to stocks.  But let me know if it is ok with all of you to intersperse these stock market discussions with occasional political subjects.  Whether you agree with me or not, I encourage you to respond to what I say and you are welcome to join in the discussion.

Bob 


Posted by bobsadviceforstocks at 7:44 AM CST | Post Comment | View Comments (11) | Permalink
Updated: Thursday, 1 March 2007 7:46 AM CST

Thursday, 1 March 2007 - 11:02 AM CST

Name: "sid"

I enjoy your blog so much..one of the best site for  evaluations of single stocks on the net.I also appreciate and concur today 's comment.Politics is always part of economy.

Keep up the great work.

Thursday, 1 March 2007 - 12:59 PM CST

Name: "Robert Freedland"
Home Page: http://bobsadviceforstocks.tripod.com/bobsadviceforstoc

"sid" wrote:

I enjoy your blog so much..one of the best site for evaluations of single stocks on the net.I also appreciate and concur today 's comment.Politics is always part of economy.

Keep up the great work.

Thanks Sid.

I will try to keep politics at a minimum.  But a little bit might spice up the blog.  Hard for me to always wear the 'same hat'.

Thanks for visiting and commenting.

Bob 

Thursday, 1 March 2007 - 1:31 PM CST

Name: "vince"
Home Page: http://www.delute.com

Much has been said something great about your blog, Bob and I totally agree with them. Your approach to stock picking and disciplined execution of your trading rules is just hard to ignore if one has to make mad money in the stock market.

Occasional political subjects interperse to stock market discussions would in my opinion even make your blog more interesting.

Keep up the good work

Thursday, 1 March 2007 - 10:07 PM CST

Name: "Diego"

Hey Bob!

First of all, I would like to say 'good job', as usual. I've also been hit by this last market correction, but nothing serious.

Regarding this political post, I don't want to seem hostile or anything, so let me put it this way: I agree with you, but you fall way short.

You say, for example,  that we can argue whether America needed to be involved in Iraq. In my opinion, and I think most non-Americans would agree, the US had no right to invade, making the "needed to" argument moot.

You say that the US should cut down on fossil fuel usage and make Kyoto a goal, so as to not depend on countries which are becoming hostile to your interests (hostility which stems from my previous point). I think the US and everyone else should cut down emissions for the good of the Earth... economic benefits would be a bonus, but it must be done even at an economic loss.

Again, don't get me wrong. The US is a great country, but it has always had an awful foreign policy. I guess that comes with the superpower/empire status, pushing others to satisfy your needs. You seem like a good man, but as an american you're subject to propaganda all day, planning what to do with Iraq, Afghanistan, North Korea, Iran, etc, just as domestic affairs.

 Anyway, I hope it didn't sound as anti-american or anything. Just trying to express my opinion. Keep up the good job! :-)

Diego

Saturday, 3 March 2007 - 7:43 AM CST

Name: "Tom"

To say the Market correction is because of Iraq is as dumb as saying the correction is caused by the Democrats taking control of congress. Markets correct and thats a reality and good. Think of it as a good opportunities to get good stocks at lower prices.

Other than the people who fight, the Soldiers, and Marines and the sacrafices of their families, us Americans have not been asked much of except to support our troops.

 Thank God we still have Marines and soldiers willing risk everthing to secure our security. All they ask for in return is our support.  And they are smart enough to know that when someone says “I support the troops, but not the war” it is a crock. Support them, support their mission and say thank you!!!!

Saturday, 3 March 2007 - 8:22 AM CST

Name: "Robert Freedland"
Home Page: http://bobsadviceforstocks.tripod.com/

Tom,

Excellent points.  We must always support our brave soldiers when they are in harms way.  But that includes providing them with appropriate armor, logistical support, a clear sense of mission, and support when they return as veterans including appropriate hospital care and not inadequate housing as veterans received at Walter Reed.  I know this is being corrected as well.

It is also important that our brave young men and women serving their nation are never sent to fight an unnecessary war on 'gamed' intelligence.  That is the entire point of the Libby and Plame affair.  That this Administration was willing to reveal or compromise the identity of a CIA agent to protect its political standing and rationale for the war.

It is also imperative that our brave young men and women have a clear mission.  A mission that can be accomplished and that they are never put in never-ending jeopardy with repeated tours above and beyond their promised tour, and repeated extensions of those tours.  That is not supporting our soldiers.

And it is also important that we as taxpayers be asked to bear that financial burden of our military missions.  That it was irresponsible to continue a policy of tax-cuts in the face of never-ending expenditures for Iraq.  That this deficit is coming home to roost one day or another.  Either for us or for our descendants.  We should never burden our grandchildren with our financial folies.

And no, I do not believe that in America we should support our country right or wrong.  Of course we should defend our nation from those that would destroy it.  However, it is the rightful responsibility of every American citizen to participate in the political world by voting, by writing, by speaking out on all matters that affect us and our neighbors in the world.  

I shall continue to emphasize stocks and investing, but as long as we all can continue to have a civil discussion on other topics, I would like to dabble in political and economic discussions as well.  You are more than welcome to disagree with anything or everything that I write.

Just as with investing, I do not now if I have the right answer, or even if any of my answers are correct.  I am also a political amateur.  So I hope that we all can learn more together.

 

Saturday, 3 March 2007 - 9:22 PM CST

Name: "Paul"

Don't hold back  -  actually If I was asked to write what you did my words would have been stronger.  As for our soldiers - as I was once - can you imagine - Bush didn't even know how bad the conditions at Walter Reed Hospital were.   Our Soldiers are his pawns!  There are age and citizenship (born here) requirements - we should ammend them to add a minimum SAT Score requirement - IQ and lie dectector tests.

 

Saturday, 3 March 2007 - 10:18 PM CST

Name: "Robert Freedland"
Home Page: http://bobsadviceforstocks.tripod.com/bobsadviceforstoc

Paul,

I would not go as far as you is correct.  I am not interested in impugning the reputation of our young men and women serving their nation in the Armed Services.  I do not assume they are of lower intelligence than the rest of Americans.  Evidence is to the contrary.  I do not assume that they are liars and need to take lie detector tests. I am, in fact, sympathetic to their plight.  

I believe in a strong Armed Forces.  I am just concerned that we resist the easy temptation of using force when words or diplomacy would suffice.  That we work to use force as a last ditch maneuver when all else has failed.  And that we do indeed support our troops both on the battlefield as well as on their return with appropriate services and support.  

In addition, if we choose to spend money in military campaigns, let's make sure that our political leaders have the integrity to ask us all to sacrifice and pay for that effort instead of buying out America's support by cutting taxes in the midst of a ballooning of expenses resulting in the return of massive deficits and threats to our economic stability. 

Tuesday, 6 March 2007 - 7:40 PM CST

Name: "paul"

 
Bob I related: that there should be IQ minimums and lie detector tests = For the Presidency!!!!
 
 
 
"Robert Freedland" wrote:

Paul,

I would not go as far as you is correct. I am not interested in impugning the reputation of our young men and women serving their nation in the Armed Services. I do not assume they are of lower intelligence than the rest of Americans. Evidence is to the contrary. I do not assume that they are liars and need to take lie detector tests. I am, in fact, sympathetic to their plight.

I believe in a strong Armed Forces. I am just concerned that we resist the easy temptation of using force when words or diplomacy would suffice. That we work to use force as a last ditch maneuver when all else has failed. And that we do indeed support our troops both on the battlefield as well as on their return with appropriate services and support.

In addition, if we choose to spend money in military campaigns, let's make sure that our political leaders have the integrity to ask us all to sacrifice and pay for that effort instead of buying out America's support by cutting taxes in the midst of a ballooning of expenses resulting in the return of massive deficits and threats to our economic stability.


Tuesday, 6 March 2007 - 8:20 PM CST

Name: "Robert Freedland"
Home Page: http://bobsadviceforstocks.tripod.com/bobsadviceforstoc

"paul" wrote:
Bob I related: that there should be IQ minimums and lie detector tests = For the Presidency!!!!
"Robert Freedland" wrote:

Paul,

I would not go as far as you is correct. I am not interested in impugning the reputation of our young men and women serving their nation in the Armed Services. I do not assume they are of lower intelligence than the rest of Americans. Evidence is to the contrary. I do not assume that they are liars and need to take lie detector tests. I am, in fact, sympathetic to their plight.

I believe in a strong Armed Forces. I am just concerned that we resist the easy temptation of using force when words or diplomacy would suffice. That we work to use force as a last ditch maneuver when all else has failed. And that we do indeed support our troops both on the battlefield as well as on their return with appropriate services and support.

In addition, if we choose to spend money in military campaigns, let's make sure that our political leaders have the integrity to ask us all to sacrifice and pay for that effort instead of buying out America's support by cutting taxes in the midst of a ballooning of expenses resulting in the return of massive deficits and threats to our economic stability.


Paul,

I read your post too quickly.  Clearly you were referring to holding the office of President.  I apologize.  Your point is clear and well-taken.

Bob

Wednesday, 1 June 2011 - 4:44 AM CDT

Name: "mcxtipsindia"
Home Page: http://www.sharetipsexpert.com/Commodity_trading_tips.a

Man I like this post and it was so fabulous and I am definetly going to bookmark it. One thing to say the Superb analysis you have done is greatly remarkable.No one goes that extra mile these days? Bravo. Just one more tip you shouldget a Translator Application for your Worldwide Audience !

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