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Sunday, 29 July 2007
"Looking Back One Year" A review of stock picks from the week of February 6, 2006

 

 

Hello Friends!  Thanks so much for stopping by and visiting my blog, Stock Picks Bob's Advice!  As always, please remember that I am an amateur investor, so please remember to consult with your professional investment advisers prior to making any investment decisions based on information on this website.

I wanted to get this review out before it is no longer the weekend :).  Las week I reviewed stocks from the week of January 30, 2006.  Let's take a look at the following week and see how stocks 'picked' during the week of February 6, 2006 worked out!

As I like to point out, this review assumes a 'buy and hold' strategy to investing with equal dollar amounts purchased in each of the stocks reviewed during the particular week and the overall performance calculated as an average of the individual performances.  In practice, I employ a very different disciplined portfolio management approach involving quick sales of declining stocks and partial sales of appreciating stocks at targeted levels.  This difference in strategy would certainly affect actual returns.  However, for the ease of calculation, the 'buy and hold' approach has been adopted for reviews.

On February 7, 2006, I posted Gardner Denver Machinery (GDI) on Stock Picks Bob's Advice when the stock was trading at $58.68.  GDI declared a 2:1 stock split on June 2, 2006, making my effective pick $29.34.  Gardner Denver closed at $41.16 on July 27, 2007, for a gain of $11.82 or 40.3% since posting.

On July 25, 2007, GDI reported 2nd quarter 2007 results.  For the three months ended June 30, 2007, revenue increased 10% to $459.9 million compared to $416.3 million in the year ago same period.  Net income climbed 36% to $44.8 million from $33.0 million last year. Diluted earnings per share jumped 34% to $.83/share from $.62/share in 2006.

With this outstanding earnings report, a still strong Morningstar.com "5-Yr Restated" financials page, 

GARDNER DENVER (GDI) IS RATED A BUY

On February 8, 2006, I posted Stamps.com (STMP) on Stock Picks Bob's Advice when the stock was trading at $30.99.  STMP closed at $11.70 on July 27, 2007, for a loss of $(19.29) or (62.2)% since posting.

On July 26, 2007, Stamps.com (STMP) announced 2nd quarter 2007 results. Revenue for the quarter ended  June 30, 2007, came in at $21.4 million, up 6% from revenue in the same quarter in 2006.  Net income came in at $.13/share, down from $.17/share in the same period last year.

With the poor price chart, the decline in earnings in the latest quarter, and the decline in revenue per the Morningstar.com "5-Yr Restated" financials during the trailing twelve months,

STAMPS.COM (STMP) IS RATED A SELL

On February 9, 2006, I posted Akamai (AKAM) on Stock Picks Bob's Advice when the stock was trading at $26.01.

AKAM closed at $36.71 on July 27, 2007, for a gain of $10.70 or 41.1% since posting.

On July 25, 2007, Akamai announced 2nd quarter 2007 results.  Revenue for the quarter came in at $152.7 million up 52% from last year's $100.6 million.  earnings came in at $21.6 million or $.12/share, up from $11.2 million or $.07/share in the same period last year.  The company met earnings expectations of $.30/share and beat  on revenue with analysts expecting $150.9 million per Thomson Financial.


With the strong earnings report, the strong Morningstar.com "5-Yr Restated" financials page, yet the weak price chart,

AKAMAI (AKAM) IS RATED A HOLD

So how did I do during this week in February, 2006?  The three stocks averaged out to a gain of 6.4%.  

Thanks so much for stopping by and visiting!  If you have any comments or questions, please feel free to leave them on the blog or email me at bobsadviceforstocks@lycos.com.

Bob 


Posted by bobsadviceforstocks at 6:48 PM CDT | Post Comment | Permalink

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