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Sunday, 25 January 2004
"Seven Months Ago" A longer term view examining the week of 6/30/03
Hello Friends! I am a bit behind here and am playing catch-up....I have the website, prices, and trading portfolio updated if you link to the main site...it is a bit of a task and I need to do that at least once/month! Should be doing a six month review but you know how that goes...now we are seven months out...so let's take a look at the picks from then. As always, I would like to encourage you to use your own due diligence before making any stock picks based on information on this website and please consult with your investment advisors!

I made five selections during the week of June 30, 2003. On June 30, 2003, I posted TransMontaigne (TMG) at $6.48. TMG closed 1/23/04 at $6.90 for a gain of $.42 or 6.5%. On November 14, 2003, TMG announced results for the three months ended September 30, 2003. This was reported on Yahoo and showed that revenue increased nicely to $2.55 billion from $1.74 billion the prior year. On a per share basis this was $.03/share vs a loss of $(0.01)/share the prior year. It appears this stock is on track.

The second stock posted that week was ChoicePoint (CPS). CPS was selected on 7/1/03 at $36.14. CPS closed on 1/23/04 at $37.60 for a gain of $1.46 or 4.0%. On January 22, 2004, ChoicePoint reported fourth quarter results which included a revenue of $200.0 million, an increase of 5% over the prior year same quarter results, and earnings per share, excluding a non-recurring charge, was $.35 compared to $.35 the prior year. In my humble opinion, this is no longer an exciting growth picture...at least in the latest quarter....and while I would not rush to sell, I would not be rushing to buy this issue either.

The third selection that was posted was Digital River which was posted on 7/2/03 at $21.69. DRIV closed on 1/23/04 at $25.85 for a gain of $2.16 or 10.0%. DRIV posted their latest "10-Q" on November 13, 2003, and reported that revenue grew from $18.87 million in 2002 to $26.75 million in the same quarter ended September 30th in 2003. This company appears to be on track!

The fourth selection that was Metrologic Instruments that was posted on Bob's Advice on 7/2/03 at $35.60. MTLG split 2:1 on 10/31/03, making our effective stock price at $17.80. MTLG closed 1/23/04 at $29.67 for a gain of $11.87 or 66.7%. On October 23, 2003, MTLG released third quarter results which showed sales growing 17% to $32.6 million and net income for the quarter at $.28/share vs $.03/share the prior year. The company appears to be on track for strong growth!

The final stock for the week was Mid Atlantic Medical Services (MMD) which was posted on Bob's Advice on July 2, 2003, at $55.56. MME closed on 1/23/04 at $66.78 for a gain of $11.22 or 20.2%. MME reported their third quarter earnings results on 11/6/03. Net income was $46 million or $1.10/share vs $22 million or $.54/share the prior year for the quarter. The company appears to be doing just fine!

Summarizing, we posted five stocks with an average gain of 21.48%. Now most of the gain was in MTLG, and MME....but the other stocks had small but positive gains. We must realize, that this fine performance was during a period of terrific market performance...but still...what the heck it was pretty good!

Thanks again for stopping by! I think I am just about caught up with my housekeeping around here! If you have any questions, comments, or words of encouragement, please feel free to post them right here on the website or you can email me at bobsadviceforstocks@lycos.com

Bob


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