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Saturday, 6 March 2004
"How are we doing?" A look back on the week of December 29, 2003
Hello Friends! I made it to Saturday once again. Almost sounds like a REAL accomplishment. The weekend is the time I like to do a little retrospective. Preferably, taking a look back relatively short-term...about 8 weeks, and then a little longer-term...about 7 months. Pretty soon we will have some one year results and I think I will stop the 7 week review, and just take a look at 7 months and 12 months. What do you think?

Remember to always do your OWN due diligence on all of the stocks I discuss here, and quite frankly on all stocks you see mentioned in the media or the internet. Also, please consult with your investment advisor prior to taking any action on stocks mentioned here because they may or may not be suitable or even profitable for you!

During the week of December 29, 2003, I posted five stocks on this blog. They were: American Vanguard (AVD), Matrix Initiatives (MTXX), Surmodics (SRDX), Secure Computing (SCUR), and McKesson Corp. (MCK).

On December 29, 2003, I posted American Vanguard (AVD) on this BLOG at a price of $38.69. AVD closed at $35.65 on 3/5/04 for a loss of $(3.04) or (7.9)%.

Also on December 29, 2003, I posted Matrixx Initiatives (MTXX) at $18.28. MTXX virtually collapsed in price when concerns were raised about possible loss of sense of smell with use of their Zinc-based nasal inhaler. MTXX closed on 3/5/04 at $11.93 for a loss of $(6.35) or (34.7)%.

Surmodics (SRDX) was posted on Bob's Advice on 12/3/03 at a price of $24.38. SRDX closed 3/5/04 at $21.08 for a loss of $(3.35) or (13.7)%.

The fourth stock posted that week was Secure Computing at $16.78 on 12/30/03. SCUR closed at $15.46 on 3/5/04 for a loss of $(1.32) or (7.9)%.

Finally, on 1/1/04, I posted McKesson (MCK) at $32.16. MCK closed on 3/5/04 at $28.43 down $(3.73) or (11.6)%.

I cannot remember another retrospective on this site where ALL stocks were DOWN eight weeks later. It was a tough couple of months on the NASDAQ for sure, but we certainly were NOT bucking the tide for these selections. The five stocks listed had an average LOSS of (15.16)%, and that was over the short eight week period! This just goes to show you that stocks listed here CAN lose money and that careful loss limits need to be placed on these stocks to prevent losses from exceeding whatever your given limit may be. For me it is 8%.

If you would like to see what I ACTUALLY own and how the picks from 2003 and 2004 are doing, please visit the "Current Trading Portfolio" portion of the website.

Thanks so much for stopping by! If you have any questions, comments, or words of encouragement, please feel free to leave them here or email me at bobsadviceforstocks@lycos.com

If you do not mind, I will just answer them right on the blog. Your questions may be interesting to others and others may have ideas they would like to contribute!

Regards!

Bob


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