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Stock Picks Bob's Advice
Saturday, 15 May 2004

Hello Friends! Thanks so much for stopping by! The weekend is the time for me to review my past selections: The "good, bad, and the ugly." (apologies to Clint Eastwood.) As always, please remember that I am an amateur investor and that you should do your own investigation on all of the stocks discussed here and consult with your investment advisors to make sure investments are suitable and timely for your investment needs!

The first stock picked on Stock Picks Bobs Advice (whatever am I going to do about THAT missing apostrophe...oh well...) was St Jude Medical (STJ) which was selected for the blog on 5/12/03 at $55.30. STJ closed on 5/14/04 at a price of $74.74 for a gain of $19.44 or 35.2%.

What about recent news? On April 21, 2004, STJ announced 1st quarter 2004 results. Net sales were up 24% (about 6% of that was due to currency exchange effects), to $549 million from $441 million the prior year. Earnings for the first quarter were $96 million, a $16 million or 20% increase over net earnings of $80 million. Per diluted share this came out to $.52 in 2004 a 21% increase over the $.43/diluted share in the first quarter of 2003 ended March 31st.

On May 14, 2003, J2 Global Communications (JCOM) was selected for the blog at $32.60. They had a 2:1 split so the adjusted pick price was $16.30. JCOM closed at $22.96 on 5/14/04 for a gain of $6.66 or 40.9%.

On April 19, 2004, JCOM reported 1st quarter results. Revenues for the quarter ended March 31, 2004, increased 51% to $22.9 million from $15.2 million in the same quarter the prior year. GAAP Net Earnings per diluted share increased 25% to $.25/share from $.20/share the prior year. JCOM appears to be doing just fine!

HealthExtras was selected for Bobs Advice on 5/14/03 at a price of $5.70/share. HLEX closed on 5/14/04 at $14.00/share for a great gain of $8.30 or 146%.

HealthExtras reported 1st quarter 2004 results on April 28, 2004. Revenues totaled $110.5 million, a 21% increase over last year's revenues of $91.7 million. Net income came in at $3.4 million or $.10/share, a 79% increase over first quarter 2003 earnings of $1.9 million or $.06/share. HLEX appears to be right on track!

AMN Healthcare Services (AHS) was posted on Bob's Advice on 5/15/03 at a price of $10.05. AHS closed at $15.21 for a gain of $5.16 or 51.3% during this period.

On April 28, 2004, AHS reported 1st quarter 2004 results. Revenue was $161.3 million, down from $199.8 million for the first quarter of 2003. Net income came in at $4.6 million or $.15/share compared to $12.4 million or $.29/share the prior year. However, these results were slightly better than the PRIOR quarter...so the market did not punish the stock price much at all. My judgement on this one is out. Certainly this stock does not fulfill the requirements of this blog to be picked as a possible purchase, but then again, we have a nice gain on the pick (although I do NOT own any shares)...so if I owned it, I would be sitting tight...letting the market price dictate my actions.

On May 16, 2003, I picked Agree Realty (ADC) for the blog at a price of $23.41. ADC closed 5/14/04 at $23.05 for a loss of $(.36) or (1.5)%.

On April 23, 2004, ADC reported 1st quarter 2004 results. Since this is a REIT, the results are not typical for some of our other companies: funds "from operations" increased 17.4% to $4.3 million compared to $3.6 million the prior year. Diluted funds from operation were $.60/share compared to $.71/share the prior year. Net income, however, increased 29% to $2.9 million or $.45/share compared with net income the prior year of $2.2 million or $.50/share. Clearly there are more shares out this year diluting some of the income. Overall this is a satisfactory if not exciting result imho.

So how did we do that first week in May when I set out to start picking stocks for this blog? Of the five stocks picked a year ago, I recorded gains (Of these stocks I currently only own some shares of STJ in my trading account, and I believe I have some shares of HLEX in a managed account that I do not decided purchases or sales) ranging from +35.2% to +146%, with a single loss of (1.5)%, for an average performance of a gain of 54.4%. This was a GREAT week and a GREAT start for this blog!

Thanks so much for stopping by! I have added some of these LOGOS to add some spice to the site. Please let me know if it slows down the loading too much! If you have any questions, comments, or words of encouragement, please feel free to leave them right here on the blog or email me at bobsadviceforstocks@lycos.com

Have a great Sunday everyone!

Bob


Posted by bobsadviceforstocks at 3:29 PM CDT | Post Comment | Permalink
Updated: Sunday, 16 May 2004 12:13 AM CDT

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