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Saturday, 19 June 2004

Hello Friends! We have made it to another weekend. That always sounds so nice to me. But I often find my weekends just as hectic as the weekdays...just busy doing other stuff. Anyhow, thanks so much for stopping by. Please remember that I am an AMATEUR investor, that you should do your OWN research on all stocks on this website and discuss with a PROFESSIONAL investment advisor before taking any action based on information here!

As 'regulars' who visit here know, I have started using the weekend to try to look back on past picks on this blog....and see how they turned out. That way, we can figure out if what I am doing here ACTUALLY works (lol)...and which of the picks were successful. This, hopefully, will help me pick stocks better in the future! During the week of June 9, 2003, I selected nine stocks for review.

On June 9, 2003, I selected Accredited Home Lenders (LEND) for this blog at a price of $19.58. LEND closed on 6/18/04 at $28.69 for a gain of $9.11 or 46.5%.

On April 29, 2004, LEND reported 1st quarter 2004 results. Total revenues increased 50% to $119.0 million from $79.1 million the prior year and net income was $22.5 million or $1.05/diluted share for the quarter ended March 31, 2004, an increase of 52% over net income of $14.8 million for the prior year or $.85/diluted share for 2003. These are nice results!


On June 10, 2003, I posted Pediatrix (PDX) on Stock Picks Bob's Advice at a price of $38.80. PDX closed at $67.70 on 6/18/04 for a gain of $28.90 or 74.5%.

On May 4, 2004, PDX reported 1st quarter 2004 results. Revenue grew 17% to $148.1 million. Earnings per share were up 25% to $.85/share. And "same-unit revenue growth" was strong at 9.7%.

I selected Packeteer for this blog on June 10, 2003 at $15.10. PKTR closed at $14.65 on 6/18/04 for a loss of $(.45) or (3.0)%.

On April 22, 2004, PKTR announced 1st quarter 2004 results. Net revenues for the first quarter ended March 31, 2004, grew 28% to $21.5 million. Net income for the quarter was $3.4 million or $.10/diluted share compared with $2.1 million or $.07/diluted share...an increase of approximately 50%.

On June 10, 2003, I posted Caremark Rx (CMX) on this blog at a price of $24.66. CMX closed on 6/18/04 at $33.10/share for a gain of $8.44 or 34.2%.

On May 6, 2004, CMX announced 1st quarter results. During the quarter, net revenues came in at $3.0 billion, a 40% increase over the prior year's results. These results included $465.1 million in revenue from AdvancePCS, a recent acquisition. Net income came in at $84.2 million vs. $63.0 million the prior year, or $.29/diluted share vs. $.24/diluted share the prior year. This company appears to be continuing in its successful "track record".

On June 11, 2003, I postede Lennar Homes (LEN) on the blog at $75.45. LEN split 2:1 on 1/21/04 making my effective pick price actually $37.73. LEN closed on 6/18/04 at $44.24 for a gain of $6.51/share or 17.3%.

On June 15, 2004, LEN reported 2nd quarter 2004 results. For the quarter ended May 31, 2004, revenue came in at $2.3 billion, up 11%. Earnings per share came in at $1.22/share up 20% from the prior year. The 2004 estimates were also upped at that time to $5.50 from $5.30/share. More recently, on June 16, 2004, LEN reduced estimates for the upcoming quarter. They REDUCED estimated earnings for the third quarter, while at the same time upped estimates for the following quarter, the fourth quarter of the year.

WebEx (WEBX) was posted on Stock Picks on 6/11/03 at a price of $14.41. WEBX closed on 6/18/04 at a price of $19.86, for a gain of $4.45 or 30.9%.

Insofar as earnings are concerned, on April 20, 2004, WEBX announced 1st quarter 2004 results. Revenue came in at $56.3 million, a 35% increase over the first quarter 2003 results. Earnings came in at $.22/diluted share vs $.15/share the prior year. This company is doing just fine!

On June 12, 2003, I posted Oshkosh Truck (OSK) on my blog at a price of $62.50. OSK split 2:1 in August, 2003, so my net adjusted pick price was actually $31.25. OSK closed on 6/18/04 at a price of $53.35 for a gain of $22.10 or 70.7%.

On 4/27/04, OSK announced second quarter 2004 results. Sales during the quarter increased 14.3% from $453.4 million to $518.2 million in 2004. Net income increased 59.2% to $22.5 million or $.62/share, compared with $14.1 million or $.40/share last year.

I posted Charles River Associates (CRAI) on the blog at $27.95/share on June 12, 2003. CRAI closed at $31.94/share on 6/18/04 for a gain of $3.99 or 14.3%.

On 6/10/04, CRAI reported 2nd quarter 2004 results. Revenue increased 13.5% to $45.7 million from $40.2 million in the same quarter in 2003. Net income increased 42.7% to $4.0 million from $2.8 million the prior year.

Hang in There....just one more to review!

On June 13, 2003 I posted Lannett (LCI) on the blog at $21.53/share. LCI closed at $14.22 on 6/18/04 for a loss of $(7.31) or (34)%.

On 4/27/04, LCI reported 3rd quarter 2004 results. Net sales increased from $11 million in 2003 to $16 million for the same quarter. However, diluted earnings per share were unchanged at $.16/share in the quarter in both years.

So how did we do? Well, I had seven stocks with gains and two with losses for an average gain of 27.9%. Not too shabby indeed! Remember, past performance is NO GUARANTEE for future performance and please consult with your investment advisors for personalized investment help.

If you have any comments, questions, or words of encouragement, please feel free to email me at bobsadviceforstocks@lycos.com

Bob


Posted by bobsadviceforstocks at 9:25 AM CDT | Post Comment | Permalink
Updated: Sunday, 20 June 2004 1:31 AM CDT

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