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Saturday, 12 November 2005
"Looking Back One Year" A review of stock picks from the week of September 6, 2004





Hello Friends! Thanks so much for stopping by and visiting my blog, Stock Picks Bob's Advice. As always, please remember that I am an amateur investor, so please remember to consult with your professional investment advisors prior to making any investment decisions based on information on this website.

As I like to do on weekends, this is a review of past stock picks from about a year earlier on this blog. These may include stocks that I own, but generally, these are just selections that have been discussed on this website and are not stocks that I have any ownership in. In order to simplify this review process, I assume a buy and hold strategy in this review. In practice, if you have been following what I write, you will know that I do not buy and hold, but rather sell my stocks quickly if they decline after a first purchase, or sell portions of them slowly if they appreciate in price. Please keep this in mind when reviewing my discussions!

On September 7, 2004, I posted Aviall (AVL) on Stock Picks Bob's Advice at $21.30. AVL closed at $31.69 on 11/11/05, for a gain of $10.39 or 48.8% since posting.

On October 20, 2005, AVL reported 3rd quarter 2005 results. Net sales grew 13% over the prior year to $334 million from $295 million the prior year. Earnings per share climbed to $.41/diluted share in the quarter up 37% from $.30/share in the prior year same period. This was a solid report imho.

On September 8, 2004, I posted Sierra Wireless (SWIR) on Stock Picks Bob's Advice at $19.15. SWIR closed on 11/11/05 at $12.59, for a loss of $(6.56) or (34.3)%.

On October 27, 2005, SWIR reported 3rd quarter 2005 results. For the 3rd quarter ended September 30, 2005, decreased 53.5% to $27.5 million this year compared with $59.1 million in the same quarter last year. Net loss for the 3rd quarter 2005 was $(3.1) million or $(.12)/share, down from net earnings of $7.1 million or $.27/share in the third quarter 2004.

On September 11, 2004, I posted Leadis (LDIS) on Stock Picks Bob's Advice at $12.68. LDIS closed at $5.18 on 11/11/05, for a loss of $(7.50) or (59.1)%.

On October 20, 2005, LDIS reported 3rd quarter 2005 results. Revenues came in at $17.6 million, down from $40.9 million the prior year. The company reported a loss of $(2.5) million or $(.09)/diluted share down from net income of $5.0 million or $.16/diluted share the prior year.

So how did we do? Well, not very well :(. I had one gain of the three and two losers with an average of loss of (14.9)% on the three stocks. This, as I wrote, assumes a buy and hold approach and emphasizes, imho, the importance of selling losers quickly to prevent these large losses that can accrue even from stock picks where I have done "my homework".

Thanks again for stopping by and visiting! If you have any comments or questions, please feel free to email me at bobsadviceforstocks@lycos.com or leave your words right here on the blog!

Bob












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