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Sunday, 15 October 2006
"Looking Back One Year" A review of stock picks from the week of June 13, 2005


 

 

 

 

Hello Friends!  Thanks so much for stopping by and visiting my blog, Stock Picks Bob's Advice!  As always, please remember that I am an amateur investor, so please remember to consult with your professional investment advisors prior to making any investment decisions based on information on this website.

The weekend is almost over, and I haven't done my review yet....so let's get right to the point!  If you haven't read one of these posts, let me explain that I like to check on the stocks I have been writing about and I have been going back about a year and reviewing all of the stocks presented on this blog during that particular week.  This review assumes a "buy and hold" strategy for investing.  In practice, I advocate and employ a disciplined portfolio management system selling losing stocks quickly and completely, and gaining stocks slowly and partially.  Using a different portfolio strategy would certainly affect one's investment performance.

On June 13, 2005, I posted SRA International (SRX) on Stock Picks when it was trading at $34.74. SRA closed at $31.10 on October 13, 2006, for a loss of $(3.64) or (10.5)% since posting.

On August  2, 2006, SRA reported 4th quarter 2006 results.  Revenue for the quarter ended June 30, 2006, increased 23% to $297.2 million from $241.1 million.  Net income for the quarter came in at $17.4 million, up from $15.9 million the prior year, diluted EPS came in at $.30/share up from $.28/share in 2005. 

On June 14, 2005, I posted Diodes (DIOD) on Stock Picks when it was trading at $33.30.  DIOD had a 3:2 stock split on December 1, 2005.  Thus, my effective stock pick price was actually $22.20.  DIOD closed at $43.90 on October 13, 2006, for a pick price gain of $21.24 or 96.5% since posting.  

On August 2, 2006, Diodes reported 2nd quarter 2006 results.  Revenue for the quarter increased 63.5% to $82.7 million. Net income increased from $7.7 million to $11.4 million, a more than 60% increase, and diluted eps increased from $.32/share to $.41/share.

On  June 15, 2005, I posted Landauer (LDR) on Stock Picks when it was trading at $52.90. Landauer closed at $51.70 on October 13, 2006, for a loss of $(1.20) or (2.3)% since posting.

On July 26, 2006, LDR reported 3rd quarter 2006 results.  Revenue for the quarter came in at $19.6 million, up 8% over the $18.2 million for the same period in the year earlier period.  Earnings per diluted share came in at $.56/share, up 12% from the $.50/diluted share the prior year.  

 On June 16, 2005, I posted Progress Software (PRGS) on Stock Picks when it was trading at $30.33.  PRGS closed at $25.90 on October 13, 2006 for a loss of $(4.43) or (14.6)% since posting.

On September 19, 2006, Progress reported 3rd quarter results.  Revenue for the quarter ended August 31, 2006, increased 12% to $111.4 million from $99.5 in the same period a year earlier.  However, due to accounting problems due to stock ooptions, the company withheld earnings and expected to book costs of $20 to $30 million from 1995 to February, 2006.  With the earnings still not reported, I am forced to give this company the proverbial "thumbs-down"!

On June 16, 2005, I posted Alliance Data Systems on Stock Picks when the stock was trading at $39.00/share.  ADS closed at $56.35 on October 13, 2006, for a gain of $17.35 or 44.5% since posting.

On July 19, 2006, ADS announced 2nd quarter 2006 results.  Revenue for the quarter ended June 30, 2006, increased 32% to $490.5 million, from $370.6 million in the same quarter in 2005.  Net income grew 30% to $44.8 million from $34.4 million the prior year.  Per diluted share, this worked out to a 38% increase to $.55/diluted share vs $.40/diluted share the prior year.  The company also raised guidance on both revenue and earnings adding to the postive impact of this report.

So how did I do that week in June a little over a year ago? 

Actually, it was a mixed result with three stocks losing ground and two stocks moving strongly higher.  The average change for the five stocks was an average gain of 22.72%!  

Thanks so much for stopping by and visiting!  If you have any comments or questions, please feel free to drop me a line at bobsadviceforstocks@lycos.com.  I read all of the email I get, and I try to respond to as many as possible.  If you get a chance, please drop by and visit my Stock Picks Podcast Site where I discuss many of the same stocks and questions I write about here on the blog!

Bob 


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