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Sunday, 14 August 2005
"Looking Back One Year" A review of stock picks from the week of June 14, 2004





Hello Friends! Thanks so much for stopping by and visiting my blog, Stock Picks Bob's Advice. As always, please remember that I am an amateur, and that you need to check with your professional investment advisors prior to making any investment decisions based on information on this website.

As I like to point out, these weekend reviews are about stocks that I have selected to review for this blog. Most of these stocks are not in my actual trading portfolio. This week, I shall be review American Healthways (AMHC), which does happen to be a holding of mine. I do not own any shares of the other stocks discussed.

The review assumes a buy and hold approach to investing. This is not what I actually do in practice. In fact, I sell my stocks quickly if they develop any losses, and sell my gaining stocks slowly, selling portions of my holdings on the way up. In addition, it is always helpful to remember that past performance is no guarantee of future performance. Just because a stock has done well in the past does not guarantee that it will continue to appreciate and the opposite is true as well.

On June 14, 2004, I posted Curtiss Wright (CW) on Stock Picks at a price of $49.46. CW closed on 8/12/05 at $62.50 for a gain of $13.04 or 26.4% since posting.

Curtiss-Wright reported 2nd quarter 2005 results on July 28, 2005. Net sales jumped 27% to $283.2 million from $222.4 million in the prior year. Net earnings increased 25% to $17.9 million or $.82/diluted share, up from $14.3 million or $.67/diluted share the prior year. In addition, the company increased full year 2005 guidance!

On June 15, 2004, I posted Palomar Medical Technologies (PMTI) on Stock Picks at a price of $14.83. PMTI closed at $27.46 on August 12, 2005 for an increase of $12.63 or 85.2%.

On July 28, 2005, Palomar reported 2nd quarter 2005 results. Total revenues for the quarter ended June 30, 2005, increased 38% to $18.2 million, up from $13.2 million. Net income jumped 100% to $4.0 million or $.21/diluted share, vs. net income of $2.0 million or $.12/diluted share the prior year. (This was actually a 75% increase on a per diluted share basis).

On June 16, 2004, I posted Greg Manning Auctions (GMAI) on Stock Picks at $15.70/share. GMAI closed at $14.41 on August 12, 2005, down ($1.29) or (8.2)% since posting.

On May 12, 2005 GMAI reported 3rd quarter 2005 results. For the quarter ended March 31, 2005, aggregate sales totaled $74.7 million, down from $82.0 million the prior year. However, net income jumped 61% to $21 million from
$13 million the prior year. For the quarter, net income rose 26% to $8.2 million or $.29/diluted share, up from $6.5 million, or $.23/diluted share. In other words, revenue, imho, was a negative dropping to a lower level, however income did increase which was helpful in stabilizing the stock price. (just my view!).

Finally, on June 18, 2004, I posted American Healthways (AMHC) on Stock Picks when it was trading at $24.11. AMHC closed on August 12, 2005, at a price of $42.59, for a gain of $18.48 since listing it heree. This amounts to a gain of 76.6% since posting!

On June 20, 2005, AMHC announced 3rd quarter 2005 results. Revenue climbed 20% to $78.4 million for the quarter ended May 31, 2005, up from $65.4 million last year same period. Net income came in up under 10% to $8.5 million from $7.5 million last year or $.24/diluted share up from $.22/share last year.

So how did I do picking stocks that week about a year ago? In one word, phenomenal. I wish I could do that all the time :). I had three stocks moving higher with one (Greg Manning) moving slightly lower. The overall average performance worked out to a gain of 45%!

Thanks so much for stopping by! If you have any questions or comments, please feel free to leave them right here on the blog, or email me at bobsadviceforstocks@lycos.com. Have a great week trading and investing everyone!

Bob


Posted by bobsadviceforstocks at 2:54 PM CDT | Post Comment | Permalink

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