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Sunday, 19 March 2006
"Looking Back One Year" A review of stock picks from the week of December 27, 2004







Hello Friends! Thanks so much for stopping by and visiting my blog, Stock Picks Bob's Advice. As always, please remember that I am an amateur investor, so please remember to consult with your professional investment advisors prior to making any investment decisions based on information on this website.

One of the weekend tasks that I like to accomplish on the blog is to review picks from a year earlier. Last week I reviewed picks from December 20, 2004, this week, I am up to December 27, 2004. This analysis assumes a buy and hold strategy. In reality, I advocate and practice a more disciplined approach of selling losing stocks quickly and completely, and gaining stocks slowly and partially. Implementation of a strategy like this would result in actual results different than this review. However, for the sake of simplicity, this method gives us an overall idea of the stock performance.

Furthermore, this review is limited to a check of the current stock price and the latest quarterly earnings report. I give each stock a thumbs up or a thumbs down based on whether the latest earnings report demonstrates both increased revenue and earnings (thumbs up) otherwise the stock is given a 'thumbs down'.

On December 30, 2004, I posted Dialysis Corporation of America (DCAI) on Stock Picks Bob's Advice when it was trading at $19.21. DCAI closed at $12.78 on 3/17/06, for a loss of $(6.43) or (33.5)%.

On February 13, 2006, DCAI reported 4th quarter 2005 results. Operating revenues came in at $12.2 million, up from $11.8 million in the same quarter last year. Net income for the quarter was $594,000 or $.06/diluted share, compared with $762,000 or $.08/diluted share the prior year.

On December 31, 2004, I posted Laserscope (LSCP) on Stock Picks Bob's Advice when it was trading at $35.99. LSCP closed at $21.01 on 3/17/06, for a loss of $(14.98) or (41.6)% since posting.

On February 23, 2006, Laserscope reported 4th quarter 2005 results. Revenue for the quarter ended December 31, 2005, came in at $35.0 million, a 19% increase over fourth quarter 2004 revenue of $29.4 million. Net income for the quarter grew to $5.9 million or $.26/diluted share, compared with net income of $5.2 million or $.23/diluted share last year during the same period.

So how did we do during this week a little over a year ago. As is sometimes the case, both of the stocks declined for an average loss of (37.6)%.

The evaluation shows that there is nothing magical about my stock picks. I do not bat 1.000, and sometimes the stock "picks" decline. Overall, I think that the picks on this blog have done quite well. But the possibility for loss must always be considered. Thus the need for loss limits like the 8% loss limit I utilize myself.

Thanks so much for stopping by! If you have any questions or comments, please feel free to email me at bobsadviceforstocks@lycos.com or simply leave your comments on the blog.

Bob






Posted by bobsadviceforstocks at 10:15 PM CST | Post Comment | Permalink

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